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The Crisis of the New Regional order in the Middle East

7/9/2018 11:02:00 AM


There are Geographic, Security and economic connection between Middle East and Eastern Mediterranean basin in one side, the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership in the other side, it’s interesting to US for intervention and supporting their alliances in the Mediterranean and Middle East region.

The economic and security conditions in the Eastern Mediterranean are leading to a new strategic Alliance between Cyprus-Israel-Greek as a triangle to more cooperation with regards to exist energy pipeline which were producing onshore by Cyprus and Israel, as there have proposed pipelines in Lebanon and Syria. The security conditions has also stimulated to that collision especially after emerged the refugee crisis, human trafficking and drugs, as well as there are Water demarcation in the region.

 In the Middle East One hundred year passed still the region less secure (from Sykes Picot 2016 and Belfour Declaration 1917 to the Military defeat of ISIS in 2017).

 The latest events are taking place in MENA from the mid of 2017 to mid-2018 are head towards a new regional and global government. In that few era there were Gulf Crisis, reform attempts in Saudi Arabia with the support of Trump administration, the failure of Kurdish bid for independence, the resining of Lebanon PM Saad Hariri, killing the former president of Yemen Ali Abula Salih, the warm relations among Russia-Turkey, Iran-Turkey on about Syrian crisis, the defeat of ISIS in Iraq, New coalition of Israel-Saudi Arabia- UAE, the decision to move American Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, the protests and demonstrations inside Iran and American threats to cancel the Nuclear deal with Iran and Group (5+1). Finally the election frauds of Iraq in 12.May, 2018 and its failed attempts to form a new government. These are only the beginning of a new era for reshaping the region and creating a new regional and global system, but how? For what? And to what extend?

 Of course, there is a new US agenda to make a new regional order in the Middle East. In order to face the challenges such as the Energy sources and pipelines, Promote and protection of the Israeli entity, Also to create delphinium and combating of the Iranian hegemony in the region, for that purpose, the new regional order complicated by Saudi Arabia, Israel, and US which located at the top of the triangle, So, we are front an important question in the pattern of the international relations, Is Iran enemy or can be dealing with it? According to Trump Administration that agreement can’t be hindrance for Nuclear weapon, it’s a bad agreement and Iran can be enrichment Uranium during the six month for one year and will be owner Nuclear weapon!


  The new US action in the Middle East?

the US preparedness and it’s connect their collision in the Middle East is the exact case, the threats also shown practically, because the Iranian has a plan for controlling the Middle East entirely through the two different lines:

The First, from Iran in to Iraq to Syria and Lebanon which called “Shiite Moon”.

The second, Crossed from the Arabian Peninsula to Bahrain and Read Sea. For this Iran has applied their aims with some party and Militia which was support (s) publicly and secretly. Iran has done successfully their policies in the region at the highest degree, they could to protect the Bashar- al Assad regime in Syria, as they wanted was formed armed force, government and directed the Iraqi Militia. Supported Hezbollah in Lebanon, Houthis in Yemen, Iran has also bothered and exhaustion Saudi, Even they provoke of Israel from Golan. But finally Iran cannot be continue and it’s a difficult.

After the Arab Spring Iran has cashed       Billions to bolster the Assad’s regime in Syria, According to the Jerusalem Post (The report prepared by: Anna Ahronheim, Sep 15, 2017 05:35) two years after the nuclear deal was signed by Iran and world powers, the Islamic Republic is reported to have boosted its financial support to Hezbollah to $800 million a year, a dramatic increase from the $200m. Whilst There is (5) billion dollars deficit in the Iranian budget for 2017, that’s why internally the citizens in Iran has demonstrated deeply, as well as Iranian protest in 2009 are required to provide a bread and their source of lives, but we are viewed the 2017 protest are called to change the system and its political frame in Iran, the anti-government rhetoric manifested itself in the protests, as demonstrators shouted slogans critical of the regime in Tehran like “Death to dictator” and “Let go of Syria and think about us.”

Ultimately, there is no Middle East without the US hegemony, theoretically the Trump policy is a type of Offensive Realist, “priority for America….America came/come at the first of all”, the realist believed that Great Powers are the main actors in world politics and the international political system is anarchical, the offensive realism holds that the anarchic nature of the international system is responsible for aggressive state behavior in international politics. The offensive has also focused view of foreign policy that forces said actors to act ever aggressively to continually grow their own power and weaken their opponents, regardless of the cost.


 The US between stay and pull out in Iraq 

The withdrawal of U.S. military forces from Iraq began in December 2007 with the end of the Iraq War troop surge of 2007 and was completed by December 2011, bringing an end to the Iraq War. In 2014, the advance of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) from Syria to Iraq's western provinces prompted the U.S. to intervene again.

The US procedures will began after the result of Iraqi Election in (May, 22.2018) which formed two different blocks, First, Muqtada al-Sadr (leader of Sairoon Alliance and Sadrist movment) and Haider Al-Abadi (Current PM of Iraq who was enabled by US), the Second grope lead by Nouri al-Maliki (Former PM) and Hadi Al-Amiri the head of the Badr Organization, He is also a commander in Popular Mobilization Forces, which was enabled by Iran).

 Eventually that rigged which explained by the Iraqi parties and it’s been a barrier front of the formation a new government will observe accurately by US and UN, after re-counting votes will form a government in Iraq, the US does not allow to create a political and security vacuum in Iraq.

So, hereafter will limit the proxy war between Iran and Saudi in Yemen, will start the Israeli raids in Golan as Israeli intelligence minister Yisrael Katz, in an exclusive interview with Reuters, expects Washington to recognize "Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights."

Lastly, the sanctions against Iran will increase until forced to with drawl in that regions which was entered in a different way and avoid the nuclear weapon production entirely.   



Bahrooz Jaafar, From Kurdistan Region of Iraq, A Head of the Mediterranean Institute for Regional Studies, he is also Ph.D student in International Relations at Cyprus International University- North Cyprus.  Email: [email protected]