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The Collision of New Regional and Global Order in the Middle East: A security and economic reading of the future of regional conflicts

Mediterranean Region

3/20/2018 12:15:00 AM

The events of the Middle East head towards a new regional and global system, in the last quarter of 2017 and the first few months of 2018 there were Gulf Crisis, reform attempts in Saudi Arabia with the support of Trump administration, the failure of Kurdish bid for independence, the resining of Lebanon PM Saad Hariri, killing the former president of Yemen Ali Abula Salih, the warm relations among Russia-Turkey, Iran-Turkey,  the defeat of ISIS in Iraq, New coalition of Israel-Saudi Arabia- UAE, the decision to move American Embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, then announcing new strategy for national security of America, the protests and demonstrations inside Iran and American threats to cancel the Nuclear deal with Iran and Group (5+1).

 After Sykes Picot agreement of 1916 and Balfor treaty of 1917 some new states were established in the end of WWI, The Othoman Empire also collapsed. These new state forming attempts was based on ethnic imbalance, dividing of land and at the expense of the rights and demands of other nations. On the hand this also lead to external internventions and adminsitering Middlea East from outside through western colonialism which all led too a new threatening and horrific era.

 After almost one century of the history of Middle East still there is now security and stability in this region. All the important events taking place in MENA in the end of 2017 and begning of 2018 cannot be considered as normal events in regional security. These are only the begning of a new era for reshaping the region and creating a new regional and global system, the question is what about the nature of the regional and global order in the Middle East? This is a standard academic attempt by MIRS to study the roles and impacts of all actors in this region.

 

First Section: Saudi Arabia and Israel coalition

Donald Trump, the USA President for the first time in his Presidency he visited Saudi Arabia on May 2017. Many political observers argued that the purpose of this visit was to mend the relations between Israel and Saudi Arabia. After visiting Saudi Arabia Trump visited Israel so that both USA and Israel sort out many Middle Easters issues: among them, preventing Iranian and Shiite expansitionsm, Iranian interventions and meddling in Iraq, Syria, Lebnanon, Palestine, Yemen, and the threat Iran poses on the security of Arab Gulf countries. Therefore, one can argue that the political observers were right in noticing an attempt to form a coalition among Israel and Saudi Arab and this coalition become a fact in:

- The overal events of the last half of 2017 showed that there is military cooperation between Saudi Arabia and Israel. Mike Pompeo, the chief of CIA in December 2017 explained that Saudi Arabia is directly coorinating with Israel and other Arab and Sunni countries in their wars against ISIS. Jerulaem Post once qouted Popmeo in December 7th 2017 in a report saying that “Saudi Arabia and Israel work together. Also previously the Israeli energy minister Yuval Steinitz in a radio interview announced that there are many contacts between the two countries, but that Ryath has demanded these contacts remain not revealed[1].

-  On October 2017, the chief of intelligence of both countris have met to discuss and exchange their views about American foriegn policy in the region.  Also the former chief of intellience of Prince Turky Al Faisal have presented a speach along with former chief of Mosad Efraim Halevy and the former was even ready to participate in a symposium at the Center of Jewish Community in New York[2].

- Both countries have felt the increasingly threatening impact of Iranian expansionsim and its risk to the political and economic hegemony of Saudi Arabia and Israel. Gadi Eizenkot, chief of Israeli military has told Elaf Saudi Newspaper that Israel is willing to share intellegence regarding Iran with Saudi Arabia. Eizenkot says "We are ready to exchange our experiences and intellegence informations with Saudi Arabia and other moderate Arab States so that we can confront Iran"[3].

The self-preparations of the United States of America in its forming of coalitions and contacts with the other countries of the Middle East is a subject that needs further scrutiny and we do see that risks as the Iranian plan is to control the Middle East through creating two Shiitee Crescent:

First, this Shiitte crescent passes through Iraq to Syria and Lebnanon

Second, it also crosses Arab Gulf Countries from Bahrain to Yemen and Red Sea.This can be achieved through political parties and Militias whether directly and or indirectly are supported by Iran just like the Shiitte Popular Mobilization Forces in Iraq who are supported by Iran and or Lebanon Hizbulla, Hussies of Yemen, and other Shiitte groups affiliated with Iran and are operating in Gulf Countries.

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